Notes
Analysis and data notes: original work on the datasets this site ingests, and methodology write-ups for anything it computes itself.
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This is not a blog in the sense of commentary on the news. It is where original analysis of the datasets this site ingests goes, along with the methodology notes that any such analysis owes its readers. Everything here is dated because, unlike the technique pages, it is about a moment.
- What the published OFAC penalty record actually looks like Every civil penalty OFAC has published since 2009, read as a single dataset. The distribution is far more lopsided than the headline cases suggest, and the sectoral composition has changed completely.
- Where machinery exports to Russia went after 2022 Three small economies on Russia's border began exporting machinery to it at between six and twenty-three times their previous rate in the year direct routes closed. This is what that looks like in the two countries' own published figures.
- How we compute mirror statistics, and what they cannot tell you The exact query, filters and assumptions behind the trade comparisons on this site, published so that the numbers can be checked, reproduced and disagreed with.