AIS was designed for collision avoidance, not for surveillance, and it is fundamentally a self-reported broadcast: the vessel transmits what its equipment is set to transmit. Ships are permitted to switch it off where the master judges that transmitting would compromise safety or security.
That legitimate exception is what makes gaps ambiguous, and it is why published guidance frames the indicator as a pattern rather than an event: transmission gaps that recur, that coincide with voyages to particular areas, or that cannot be reconciled with the vessel’s subsequent position.